Thursday, 30th Apr 2026 • UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest
1-0
Aston Villa
Pick
Over 1.5
Odds
1.29
Confidence (90%)
Home Form
W
W
W
D
D
Away Form
L
W
W
D
W
HEAD TO HEAD
12.04.26 (PL) Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
1
03.01.26 (PL) Aston Villa
Nottingham
3
1
05.04.25 (PL) Aston Villa
Nottingham
2
1
14.12.24 (PL) Nottingham
Aston Villa
2
1
24.02.24 (PL) Aston Villa
Nottingham
4
2
05.11.23 (PL) Nottingham
Aston Villa
2
0
08.04.23 (PL) Aston Villa
Nottingham
2
0
10.10.22 (PL) Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
1
13.03.19 (CHA) Nottingham
Aston Villa
1
3
28.11.18 (CHA) Aston Villa
Nottingham
5
5
RECENT RESULTS
Nottingham Forest
24.04.26 (PL) Sunderland
Nottingham –
0
5
W
19.04.26 (PL) Nottingham
Burnley –
4
1
W
16.04.26 (EL) Nottingham
FC Porto –
1
0
W
12.04.26 (PL) Nottingham
Aston Villa –
1
1
D
09.04.26 (EL) FC Porto
Nottingham –
1
1
D
22.03.26 (PL) Tottenham
Nottingham –
0
3
W
19.03.26 (EL) Midtjylland
Nottingham (1 – 2) –
1
3
W
15.03.26 (PL) Nottingham
Fulham –
0
0
D
12.03.26 (EL) Nottingham
Midtjylland –
0
1
L
04.03.26 (PL) Manchester City
Nottingham –
2
2
D
Aston Villa
25.04.26 (PL) Fulham
Aston Villa –
1
0
L
19.04.26 (PL) Aston Villa
Sunderland –
4
3
W
16.04.26 (EL) Aston Villa
Bologna –
4
0
W
12.04.26 (PL) Nottingham
Aston Villa –
1
1
D
09.04.26 (EL) Bologna
Aston Villa –
1
3
W
27.03.26 (CF) Aston Villa
Elche –
1
2
L
22.03.26 (PL) Aston Villa
West Ham –
2
0
W
19.03.26 (EL) Aston Villa
Lille –
2
0
W
15.03.26 (PL) Manchester Utd
Aston Villa –
3
1
L
12.03.26 (EL) Lille
Aston Villa –
0
1
W

Analysis

Picking the right bets demands a strict focus on daily data, making this UEFA Europa League match a prime target for smart punters looking for an edge. The approach is simple: ignore the noise from the fans and let the numbers guide the wager. The home side’s baseline is defined by their season form, which sets the initial odds.

Yet, the real info is found in the short term. Analyzing their last few games strips away any illusions, showing exactly how they are performing offensively and defensively right now. On the flip side, the visiting team presents a contrasting challenge that we have to figure out.

We must carefully weigh their broader form against the tactical shifts evident in their recent games to determine their actual market value today. Beyond current form, historical clashes offer vital clues that we cannot ignore. The head-to-head data shines a light on mental blocks and style clashes that standard models simply miss.

Merging this historical context with today’s form makes the outcome highly predictable. Weighing all these elements highlights the most logical bet to make. We are backing Over 1.5 as our standout selection, capitalizing heavily on the current @1.29 odds.

With the pre-match analysis complete, all eyes turn to the pitch. The eventual final score will definitively prove if our data read was correct. Review our other daily selections before you bet.